By Steve Bergsman
compliment for After The Fall
"Steve Bergsman presents his readers with probably the most finished, but concise overviews of genuine property and all its estate types."--Christopher Macke, vp, GE actual Estate
"This is a unprecedented paintings of particular learn and compelling writing. I've by no means obvious the topic offered in this kind of cogent and skillful manner."--Phil corridor, editor, Secondary advertising Executive
"The manner out of the monetary crash of 2007/2008 will come via expert operations, astute making an investment, and the facility of actual property practitioners to renounce their psychological reminiscence of the longer term! The heated good fortune of ten-year, unparalleled progress within the genuine property has someway atrophied the industry's software of information. What we'd like is a clean examine possibilities and methods for genuine property making an investment. we're fortunate that Bergsman's booklet has healthy the bill--just in time."--Jack M. Cohen, CEO, Cohen Financial
"Insightful and informative; connects all of the dots, delivering the foundation and origin for making strategic judgements approximately genuine estate."--Stephen clean, Senior Fellow, Finance, The city Land Institute
Read Online or Download After the Fall: Opportunities and Strategies for Real Estate Investing in the Coming Decade PDF
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Extra resources for After the Fall: Opportunities and Strategies for Real Estate Investing in the Coming Decade
The famous Florida land bubble of the 1920s was not big enough to show up in these national numbers. Home prices were not carried along by the stock market and did not overshoot, nor did they drop when the stock market crashed starting in 1929. There was, however, a drop in nominal home prices after 1929; that is, home prices fell at just about the same rate as the Consumer Price Index fell. The drop in nominal home prices, when mortgage debt was not indexed to inflation, gave many homeowners negative equity in their homes and an incentive to default on their mortgages.
Between the early 1980s and the late 1990s, when Greenspan spoke, interest rates were falling and stock prices were rising. ” In the late 1990s and the early 2000s, it became fashionable to use the Fed Model to justify the level of the market. Indeed, with declining interest rates, one might well think that stock prices should be rising relative to earnings, since the prospective longterm return on a competing asset, bonds, was declining, making stocks look more attractive in comparison. In the late 1990s, it sometimes seemed that one heard reference to the Fed Model almost ad nauseam on the television business shows.
The subsequent decline in the most recent boom, however, was substantially more precipitous. The ascent in home prices after 1998 was much faster than the increase in incomes, and this raised concerns about the long-run stability of home prices, especially in the most volatile states. 4 Looking at the figure before the 2006 peak, however, one got the impression that the end was not near and that the ascent of home prices since 1997 had been so robust and steady that one would expect it to continue for years.